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Dosage profiles and tea leaves in the 2010 Belmont Stakes

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Photo by rterry126/iStockphoto

I am not a handicapper, nor do I play one on TV. But I can’t resist nosing around with some of the dosage profiles of this year’s Belmont contenders.

Dosage has fallen out of favor, so much so that the pedigrees on the Belmont Stakes website don’t include dosage profiles.

But I became intrigued by dosage when I saw an article (that I, of course, can’t find now) comparing the dosage profiles of Smarty Jones and Birdstone. You may recall that Smarty won the first two jewels of the Triple Crown, along with the hearts of race fans all over America. But Birdstone out-ran him down that long stretch in The Belmont.

According to the dosage numbers (see my post explaining dosage and why-I-dig-dosage-for-the-Triple-Crown), Smarty Jones was bred for speed, not necessarily for staying power. Not like Birdstone.

So, who’s got the pedigree that can take him the mile-and-a-half distance this year?